High Roller Frank Scoblete on the Seven Big Gambling
Myths
Frank Scoblete

n casinos, the odds are always against the gambler,
but the odds grow even more dim when gamblers hold erroneous
beliefs about the games they play. Seven of the most common -- and
costliest -- gambling myths...
Myth 1: Higher-limit slot
machines offer better odds, so they're a smarter
play. In major casinos, the quarter slots typically return about
91% of the money bet... the dollar slots, 94% to 95%... and the $5
slots, upwards of 95%. But in this case, the better odds are not
your best bet. The 91% average return on the quarter slots means
that over time, you'll lose an average of 2.25 cents per play,
assuming that you risk just one coin at a time. The 94% to 95%
return on the dollar slots translates into an average loss of five
to six cents every time you insert a coin, so you'll lose your
money more than twice as fast. And with $5 slots, you'll lose an
average of at least 25 cents per play -- more than 10 times as fast
as with the quarter machines.
Reality: It's true that,
statistically, you stand to win most at the highest-limit machines,
but unless you have lots of money that you can afford to lose, the
only time it's wise to move up to the dollar slots is if you have
been playing the quarter slots three quarters at a time. At an
average loss of between six and seven cents per pull, you would be
better off switching to the dollar machines -- assuming that you
restrict yourself to a single dollar coin per play.
Warning: The worst slot odds are on
"progressive" or "linked" machines that offer escalating jackpots,
up to six figures or higher. These machines typically return only
85% of the money bet.
Myth 2: This slot machine is
due. Some
slot players continue to pour money into slot machines that
haven't been winning on the theory that the machines are
"due" to hit. Conversely, players who have won money on a
machine sometimes continue to play, thinking that the machine
is "hot." Still others believe that when all the symbols for
a big jackpot appear in view, but not in line, the machine is
close to a major payout.
Reality: What a slot machine has done
on past spins has absolutely no bearing on what it does on future
spins. Each spin is independent and random.
Myth 3: Single-deck blackjack gives gamblers a fighting
chance against the casino. At a
typical casino blackjack table, six or eight decks of cards are
shuffled together. But now many casinos also offer single-deck
blackjack, where only one deck is in play at any given time. With
just 52 cards to account for, it seems easier for gamblers to
calculate their best strategies.
Reality: The casino has structured the
single-deck game so that it's harder than ever to beat the house.
At a normal blackjack table, the casino pays three to two when you
get blackjack -- $15 on a $10 bet. At single-deck tables, the
payout is only six to five, or $12 on a $10 bet. That lower payout
means that over time, even if you are able to win a few more hands
because you have kept track of the cards that have been played, you
can expect to lose your money nearly three times as fast as you
would at a multi-deck table.
Myth 4: Play the trend at the blackjack
table. Gamblers like to search for
trends, even where none exist. They'll bet more at the craps table
when the dice are running "hot" or bet a number that has hit a few
times on the roulette wheel, though a modern wheel in a major
casino is extremely unlikely to be biased.
In general, betting the trend in the casino is no worse than any
other bet, but blackjack is an "antitrend" game. Example: When a
lot of small cards have been dealt, there are fewer small cards
left to be played, making it smarter to assume that the trend will
reverse.
Reality: At the blackjack table,
betting the trend is a costly mistake.
Myth 5: If I can win in poker
games with my friends, I can win in the casino or
online. In
casinos and at online gambling sites, you're not just playing
against the other players at the table -- you're also playing
against the "rake," the house's cut of anywhere from 2% to 20% of
winning pots. And unlike in home games, you're not playing against
people you know, so you can't expect to read your opponents.
Online, you might even be up against pro gamblers using computer
programs and teamwork to up their odds.
Reality: The best way to
survive is to play tighter than you would at a friendly home game,
folding most hands and risking your money only when your
opportunities are greatest.
Myth 6: Fast play is good
play. At
table games, experienced gamblers typically make quick
decisions and become frustrated with novice players who move
slowly and drag down the pace of play.
Reality: It's in a gambler's best
interests to move slowly. Not only does slower play give you more
time to think, it reduces the number of hands that you'll play on a
given night. Because the odds are in the house's favor on every
hand, fewer hands played means greater odds that you'll walk away a
winner -- or at least that you'll lose less. The only downside to
taking a little time is the dirty looks you'll receive from the
dealer and your fellow gamblers. If you're at a casino with
friends, play at the same table, so you won't feel outnumbered and
bullied into fast play.
Myth 7: Comps are a way to "win" at the
casino. After you sign up for
a rewards card at a casino, you might earn complimentary meals,
show tickets -- even hotel rooms. Many gamblers view these comps as
a way to recoup their losses at the gambling tables. Casinos view
them as a way to keep gamblers happy as they lose money.
Reality: When you receive great comps,
it means that based on how you're betting, the casino expects you
to lose a large amount of money.